[pmolina]

Economics 101 (Supply & Demand)
When a new vehicle is introduced and is expected to be popular, the pricing will remain high because of demand in sync with low available volume. As manufacturing increases and dealer inventory increases and dealers have a month-to month constant inventory, they will want to reduce that inventory and adjust allowable pricing accordingly. This is why some of us are waiting for a later model year (or the end of a current model year so dealers can order the later year models.

There is, of course, a buyer's decision as to when one wants or needs to sell or trade-in the currently-owned vehicle. Many other other microeconomic inputs come into play as well.

 

[pmolina]

So just how much lower will it get as the year progresses?

What's the estimate for when the MY20s come out?

Trying to decide on when to pull the trigger.

It is not automatic. In other words pricing is not reduced as a matter of rule. Some of it depends upon the basic supply & demand factors I mentioned. Most of it rests with how well you are able to negotiate such as:
1. Familiarizing yourself with the dealers inventory.
a. Is there a generous inventory on the lot?
b..Check their advertising for pricing (if you believe it). I don't rely upon it much myself, But it could be an indicator - and check the small print.
c. When are they getting in the 2020 models? They will want to sell their 2019s first.
2. If they have a vehicle you like go in towards the end of the month. This is when they are motivated to sell.
3. Talk in general terms. For instance, when asked, do not tell them how much you can afford per month. . You should already know. A good financial advisor will tell you: If you cannot finance a car within four years you are over-spending.

Check Google/U-tube On how to negotiate buying a new car, dealer tricks etc..

Question 1: Could be $2000 - $4000
Question 2: This will change throughout the year
Question 3: Do the reareach: dealer familiarization, negotiation intelligence. Think about it - You are committing to a $40,000 contract and it is typically the second largest purchase one makes after buying a place to live..

https://www.consumerreports.org/car...how-to-negotiate-a-new-car-price-effectively/